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Pollster John Boyd Says If Gov. Mapp Is To Be Re-Elected, It Will Happen In A Runoff

MAPP-POTTER TEAM FAVORED TO GET THE MOST VOTES ON NOVEMBER 6, ST. CROIX POLLSTER JOHN BOYD SAYS TODAY

CHRISTIANSTED — A veteran pollster on St. Croix says that if incumbent Governor Kenneth Mapp is going to be re-elected in 2018 he will have to face one of two native St. Thomians who are tied in a statistical dead heat.

John Boyd, a former president of the St. Croix Republican party, said that he has been doing polls in the Virgin Islands since 1982 and that Mapp-Osbert Potter’s projected election day percentage of the vote is 34 percent, followed by former Labor Commissioner Albert Bryan Jr.-Senator Tregenza Roach tied at 21 percent with the team of former Senator Adlah “Foncie” Donastorg-Senator Alicia “Chucky” Hansen who also projected out to 21 percent; Undecided with 13 percent; businessman Warren Mosler-Ray Fonseca projected to finish with six percent; Soraya Diase Coffelt-Dwight Nicholson projected at two percent; Senator Janette Millin Young-Edgar Bengoa forecast to finish with two percent and the team of businessman Moleto Smith Jr.-Hubert Frederick picked to finish with one percent.

Boyd said Mapp-Potter had 32 percent of the vote on St. Croix before Labor Day; Mapp-Potter had 39 percent of the vote on St. Croix in September; Mapp-Potter had 39 percent of the vote up until October 15 on St. Croix and that Mapp-Potter had 29 percent of the vote in St. Thomas between September 15 and October 15 — projecting out to a finish on November 6 of 34 percent of the total electorate.

He said the team of Bryan-Roach garnered 22 percent of the vote on St. Croix prior to Labor Day; Bryan-Roach had 22 percent of the vote in St. Croix in September; Bryan-Roach had 20 percent of the vote in St. Croix up until October 15; Bryan-Roach had 22 percent of the vote in St. Thomas between September 15 and October 15 — projecting out to a finish on November 6 of 21 percent of the total electorate.

Tied in a projected finish was Donastorg-Hansen who managed 10 percent of the vote in St. Croix prior to Labor Day; Donastorg-Hansen had 13 percent of the vote in St. Croix in September; Donastorg-Hansen had 21 percent of the vote in St. Croix before October 15; Donastorg-Hansen got 21 percent of the vote between September 15 and October 15 — projecting out to a finish on November 6 of 21 percent of the total electorate.

“Foncie and Chucky are both very well loved by their loyal fans on their respective islands and as a Democrat, Donastorg did quite well in two previous governor’s races on both islands coming in second to De Jongh and Christensen,” Boyd said. “The team got a very slow start and did not break out until late September but signs and bumper stickers are popping up all over St. Croix.”

Boyd said that he interviewed 306 people between September 15 and October 15 in his “sidewalk” sample poll.

Mapp is a registered Republican running as an independent. He was born in New York but raised in St. Croix. Bryan won the Democratic primary in September. He was born in St. Thomas but raised in St. Croix. Donastorg is a registered Democrat running as an independent. He was born and raised in St. Thomas.

Please see graphic below to see how your favorite candidate stacked up in the Boyd polling:

POLLING BY JOHN BOYD OF ST. CROIX

 

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The Author

John McCarthy

John McCarthy

John McCarthy has been reporting on the U.S. Virgin Islands since 1989. He is originally from Detroit, Michigan.

1 Comment

  1. NewIslander
    October 29, 2018 at 9:08 AM — Reply

    LOL.

    If these numbers are to be believed, then get your “Don’t Blame Me, I Voted for Warren Mosler” bumper stickers ready.

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