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Two Tropical Disturbances Could Threaten The Territory In The Next Five Days

tropical grapher

MIAMI — Two tropical disturbances in the Atlantic Ocean may become tropical depressions or storms, with one of them threatening to drench the Caribbean with heavy rain whether or not it develops further.

Invest 99-L and Invest 90-L are behind what used to be Tropical Storm Fiona. It’s Invest 99-L, a tropical wave located about 900 miles east of the Lesser Antilles, that poses the greater threat to the Caribbean.

The National Hurricane Centre (NHC) says that system has a 50 per cent chance of development into a tropical depression or tropical storm over the next five days. It should continue in a general west or west-northwest trajectory the next several days and reach the Lesser Antilles by late tomorrow or early Wednesday, and then spread through the northeast Caribbean Islands into Thursday.

Regardless of whether it is Invest 99-L, a tropical depression or tropical storm, the system could bring heavy rain to the Lesser Antilles beginning late tomorrow, according to forecasters with the Weather Channel. It could possibly threaten the Bahamas later on, but it’s too early to say for sure.

Farther east, Invest 90-L, an area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave, is moving away from Africa and has better prospects for development in the near-term future.

It is likely to develop into a tropical storm, perhaps as early as today. The NHC says it is almost positive it will form within the next 48 hours.

The long-range path for Invest 90-L takes it on a northwest course that has the potential to keep it away from land. Some computer models also ramp up the storm into a powerful hurricane.

Meantime, Fiona is on her way out, having weakened from a tropical storm to a tropical depression late last night.

At 5 a.m., it was 525 miles northeast of the northern Leeward Islands and about 670 miles southeast of Bermuda, carrying maximum sustained winds of 35 miles per hour.

The NHC said little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Fiona could become a remnant low in the next day or two, bringing a few showers to Bermuda.

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The Author

John McCarthy

John McCarthy

John McCarthy is primarily known for his investigative reporting on the U.S. Virgin Islands. A series of reports beginning in the 1990's revealed that there was everything from coliform bacteria to Cryptosporidium in locally-bottled St. Croix drinking water, according to a then-unpublished University of the Virgin Islands sampling. Another report, following Hurricane Hugo in 1989, cited a Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) confidential overview that said that over 40 percent of the U.S. Virgin Islands public lives below the poverty line. The Virgin Islands Free Press is the only Caribbean news source to regularly incorporate the findings of U.S. Freedom of Information Act requests. John's articles have appeared in the BVI Beacon, St. Croix Avis, San Juan Star and Virgin Islands Daily News. He is the former news director of WSVI-TV Channel 8 on St. Croix.

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