SAN JUAN — A tropical wave is in the central Tropical Atlantic Ocean and producing some disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
As of 6:00 p.m., this tropical wave was located about 1,350 miles (2,173 kilometers) east-southeast of Barbados, according to Meteo Mundo meteorologist Rusty McCranie.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression could form by early next week while it moves westward at 10 to 15 mph and approaches the Lesser Antilles.
The system is then forecast to move westward to west-northwestward across portions of the eastern Caribbean Sea during the middle part of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days…medium…40 percent.
MARINE FORECAST FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
Surface high pressure over the Atlantic and a weak surface trough leaving the area will promote moderate east winds into the weekend.
During the day, expect showers to linger across the area as the tropical wave exits the region completely.
However, by the afternoon into evening hours, we anticipate a drier airmass to move across the islands reducing the chance of significant rainfall development early in the evening.
The passage of the next tropical wave could cause deteriorated marine conditions by midweek.
REST OF TODAY
East winds around 15 knots with gusts up to 25 knots. Seas 4 to 5 feet, occasionally to 6 feet. Wave Detail: East 5 feet at 7 seconds. Scattered showers with isolated thunderstorms late this morning, then isolated showers this afternoon.
TONIGHT
East winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts up to 30 knots. Seas around 5 feet, occasionally to 6 feet. Wave Detail: East 5 feet at 8 seconds. Scattered showers after midnight.
FRIDAY
East winds around 15 knots with gusts up to 25 knots. Seas around 5 feet, occasionally to 6 feet. Wave Detail: East 5 feet at 8 seconds.
FRIDAY NIGHT
East winds around 15 knots with gusts up to 25 knots. Seas around 5 feet, occasionally to 6 feet. Wave Detail: East 5 feet at 8 seconds. Scattered showers.
SATURDAY
East winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 25 knots. Seas 4 to 5 feet, occasionally to 6 feet. Wave Detail: East 5 feet at 8 seconds. Scattered showers in the morning.
SATURDAY NIGHT
East winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 25 knots. Seas around 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Wave Detail: East 4 feet at 8 seconds. Scattered showers.
SUNDAY
East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Scattered showers in the morning.
SUNDAY NIGHT
East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Scattered showers.
MONDAY
East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Scattered showers in the morning.
MONDAY NIGHT
East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas around 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Scattered showers.
Winds and seas higher in and near thunderstorms.