Florida faces flood threat as Invest 97L shifts west

Keeping an eye on the tropical wave that could enter the Gulf this weekend

MIAMI — A large tropical wave was tagged by the National Hurricane Center as Invest 97-L this morning.

This well-defined wave is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over Hispaniola, Puerto Rico, the southeastern Bahamas, and the adjacent waters of the southwestern Atlantic and northeastern Caribbean Sea.

Development of this system should be slow to occur during the next day or so while
it moves west-northwestward over portions of the Greater Antilles.

However, environmental conditions are forecast to be more conducive for development after the wave passes the Greater Antilles, and a tropical depression is likely to form this weekend or early next week over the eastern Gulf of Mexico near the Florida Peninsula.

Interests across the Greater Antilles, the Bahamas, and Florida should continue to monitor the progress of this system.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days…high…70 percent.

John F. McCarthy is a veteran journalist in the Caribbean, writing from the "Decision Space" where survival meets the surreal. His reporting steel was tempered by a lineage of legendary editors and broadcasters, including Ed Wynn Brant (The Bomb), Owen Eschenroder (Ann Arbor News), Lynelle Emanuel (BVI Beacon), and Charles Thanas (WSVI-TV). Alongside longtime colleague Kenneth C. "Casey" Clark, McCarthy has navigated the front lines of the territory’s history—from the 1997 volcanic "snow" to every major hurricane since Hugo. Known for leaning out of doorless helicopters to capture the "money shot," McCarthy now edits the V.I. Free Press, providing the essential link between the island's colonial past and its SpaceX future.