John McCarthy
SAN JUAN — A well-defined tropical wave is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over Puerto Rico, the Virgin Islands, the northern Leeward Islands, and the adjacent waters of the southwestern Atlantic and northeastern Caribbean Sea.
Development of this system is unlikely during the next couple of days while it moves west-northwestward over portions of the Greater Antilles. However, environmental conditions are forecast to be more conducive for development after the wave passes the Greater Antilles.
A tropical depression could form this weekend or early next week over the eastern Gulf of Mexico or far southwestern Atlantic Ocean, including in the vicinity of Florida.
Interests across the Greater Antilles, Bahamas, and Florida should continue to monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days…medium…60 percent.
