MEXICO CITY — The first tropical storm of the season is expected to form in the Pacific Ocean within 48 hours, according to the National Hurricane Center.
The hurricane center said early this morning that an “elongated area of low pressure” located several hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico continues to produce showers and thunderstorms.
The NHC said the system still lacks a “well-defined circulation” but that environmental conditions remain favorable for further development, and that a “tropical depression or tropical storm” is expected to form Wednesday afternoon or evening.
The hurricane center says there is a 100% chance of formation through the next 48 hours. If the system becomes a tropical storm, it will be called Alvin, the first named tropical cyclone anywhere in the Northern Hemisphere this year.

South of the southern coast of Mexico (EP90)
An elongated area of low pressure located several hundred miles south of the coast of southern Mexico continues to produce showers
and thunderstorms, but the system still lacks a well-defined circulation. Environmental conditions remain favorable for further development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is expected
to form later today or tonight as the low moves generally west-northwestward at around 10 mph. For marine forecasts, including gale warnings, see High Seas Forecast issued by the National Weather
Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…high…near 100 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days…high…near 100 percent.
