As an Atlantic system moves west, what are its tropical depression chances?

The Atlantic Ocean remains clear of significant severe weather systems excepting a tropical wave in the far eastern tropical Atlantic.

The disturbance is expected to move in a west to west-northwest manner at about 15 mph through the central tropical Atlantic Ocean area this week.

As of 2 p.m. today, the National Hurricane Center said, “Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression could form by the middle or later part of this week.”

Formation chance by Wednesday morning: 10%.

Formation chance by next Monday: 50%.

9/1 2pm EDT: A tropical wave over the far eastern Atlantic has a 50% chance of formation over the next 7 days as it moves westward to west-northwestward at around 15 mph across the tropical Atlantic.

See https://t.co/tW4KeGdBFb for the latest updates. pic.twitter.com/ZuY2s3uHQe

— National Hurricane Center (@NHC_Atlantic) September 1, 2025

By DAVID J. NEAL/Miami Herald

Since 1989, David J. Neal’s domain at the Miami Herald has expanded to include writing about Panthers (NHL and FIU), Dolphins, old school animation, food safety, fraud, naughty lawyers, bad doctors and all manner of breaking news. He drinks coladas whole. He does not work Indianapolis 500 Race Day.

Partly sunny with a couple of showers mainly early in the day

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