As an Atlantic system moves west, what are its tropical depression chances?

As an Atlantic system moves west, what are its tropical depression chances?

The Atlantic Ocean remains clear of significant severe weather systems excepting a tropical wave in the far eastern tropical Atlantic.

The disturbance is expected to move in a west to west-northwest manner at about 15 mph through the central tropical Atlantic Ocean area this week.

As of 2 p.m. today, the National Hurricane Center said, “Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression could form by the middle or later part of this week.”

Formation chance by Wednesday morning: 10%.

Formation chance by next Monday: 50%.

By DAVID J. NEAL/Miami Herald

Since 1989, David J. Neal’s domain at the Miami Herald has expanded to include writing about Panthers (NHL and FIU), Dolphins, old school animation, food safety, fraud, naughty lawyers, bad doctors and all manner of breaking news. He drinks coladas whole. He does not work Indianapolis 500 Race Day.

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